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DOWNWARD SPIRAL
Brees, New Orleans likely to make Falcons hit rock bottom
spt ap Pro Picks Bree
New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees is sacked by San Francisco 49ers outside linebacker Ahmad Brooks in the second half of a National Football League game on Sunday afternoon in New Orleans. - photo by The Associated Press

What a juicy matchup the NFL scheduled for Thursday night, a showdown for the lead in the NFC South and maybe for the best record in the conference.
Then the Atlanta Falcons didn’t do their part.
Instead, the prime-time meeting between long-time rivals has lost much of its luster. Atlanta (2-8) is the biggest disappointment in the entire NFL, going from nearly making the Super Bowl to contending for the top overall draft choice.
It’s been a rough year for the Falcons, who have been ravaged by injuries and plagued by sloppiness (minus-11 turnover margin).
“It’s certainly not fun when you’re not in the mix,” Matt Ryan said. “That’s part of this league. There are times when it can be humbling. You’ve got to keep your head down and keep going. I think you learn from everything, the good and the bad, and sometimes you learn more from the bad than the good. I think everybody is trying to learn from it, apply it to themselves and find ways to get better, find ways to use it as motivation.”
The Saints (8-2) don’t need much more motivation than this: If they can win out, they will get the home field throughout the NFC playoffs because they will have beaten the Seahawks (10-1), the only team ahead of them in the conference. They meet Dec. 2.
That’s huge: No one wants to go to Seattle or to New Orleans in the playoffs.
“You always want to be at home,” Drew Brees said, “especially in those games.”
New Orleans (No. 4 in the AP Pro32) is a 9-point favorite at Atlanta (No. 31, AP Pro32). The Falcons have almost hit rock bottom. When the archrival Saints rout them in prime time, that will be as low as they can get.
SAINTS, 33-17

No. 15 Dallas (plus 2½) at No. 16 New York Giants — Giants win fifth straight, increase the angst in Cowboys fans. ... BEST BET: GIANTS, 30-23
No. 7 Indianapolis (plus 2) at No. 13 Arizona — Bruce Arians was 2012 Coach of the Year as Colts interim. He’s doing just as good a job in the desert. Still ... UPSET SPECIAL, COLTS 21-20
No. 2 Denver (minus 2½) at No. 6 New England — Tom Terrific tends to get the better of Peyton in Foxborough matchups. Not this time with that banged-up defense. ... BRONCOS, 33-28
No. 8 San Francisco (minus 5) at No. 27 Washington, Monday night — If Niners have any designs on getting back to big game, they need to start now. ... 49ERS, 20-16
No. 18 New York Jets (plus 3½) at No. 19 Baltimore — If Ravens have any designs on ... well, you know. ... RAVENS, 17-15
No. 5 Carolina (minus 4) at No. 17 Miami — Panthers must show some staying power after big win over Patriots. ... PANTHERS, 23-20
No. 22 San Diego (plus 5) at No. 3 Kansas City — Now that the pesky perfection questions have ended ... CHIEFS, 17-13
No. 11 Chicago (plus 1) at No. 21 St. Louis — Like Bears’ backup more than Rams’ backup at QB. ... BEARS, 24-17
No. 28 Tampa Bay (plus 9) at No. 10 Detroit — Lions better be serious about Bucs, even with Thanksgiving date with Packers ahead. ... LIONS, 30-20
No. 30 Minnesota (plus 4½) at No. 14 Green Bay — Packers will be serious about Vikes before the holiday matchup in Motor City. ... PACKERS, 20-13
No. 20 Pittsburgh (plus 2) at No. 22 Cleveland — Not buying into either of these teams right now. ... BROWNS, 22-17
No. 32 Jacksonville (plus 10) at No. 29 Houston — Never have bought into either of these teams. ... TEXANS, 23-14
No. 26 Tennessee (plus 1½) at No. 25 Oakland — A couple of inconsistent teams, but Matt McGloin is a nice story ... RAIDERS, 20-17

2013 RECORD:
Against spread: 3-10-2 (66-84-6). Straight up: 8-7 (96-66).
Best Bet: 4-7 against spread, 10-1 straight up.
Upset special: 3-8 against spread, 1-10 straight up.